Trident Press Wealth Creation updates are "Written by Lance Spicer - Editor of the World's No. 1 Stock Market Investment Newsletter - the Trident Confidential.
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Dear
Reader,
The Bull
Market alive and well - to many investors it just doesn't feel like it. The
Australian market is still down for the year and the US markets are up
slightly. Of course, the "tech" heavy NASDAQ in the US is going great
guns, as people are just starting to realise that the number one place to be in
2010 and 2011 is technology stocks. I wonder where you've heard that before?
At Trident Confidential we have been focusing on tech stocks since mid last
year and it helped give us a 113% return in 2009. I suspect the tech stocks we
are now buying will produce fabulous results in 2010 too. You see I don't care
what the broader market is doing or for how long this bull market will last -
that's irrelevant. I'm only concerned with the stocks we are buying and their prospects
for 2010 and beyond.
The projections I have for earnings and revenues on some of these companies
tells me we are looking at Price Appreciation Potential of 60%, 70% and 80%
over the next year. The broader market? Maybe 10%, 15% at a stretch.
This informative article was contributed with the kind permission of Louise Bedford who is one of Australia's most recognised private traders. Louise is also the best-selling author of The Secret of Writing Options, The Secret of Candlestick Charting, Trading Secrets and Charting Secrets.
I highly recommend them to you as they are invaluable in locating those profitable stocks. You will find this article plus a host of other invaluable information by clicking on this link or why not subscribe to their free newsletter. Click Here.
The newsletter other trading professionals demand
Hi,
I received an email last week
that kind of shook me. Here's what it said:
"Louise, I'm a fan, but
I have a piece of advice for you that I do hope you'll follow. You're telling
people too much. As an example, I know that you openly tell people how it took
you 3 years to break even on the share market. You need to be aware that people
don't want to hear this if they're going to follow your strategies. They need
to feel they can put their faith in the things that you do, so they'll be able
to trade well."
Ahhh... isn't this an
interesting topic?
Is it wise to be so open and
share so much personal stuff? (Answer: wise - no. Honest - yes.)
Are people more likely to
follow someone without a few bullet holes and scars? (Answer: Personally, I'm
not so crazy about listening to those with the Midas touch. They're not all
that interesting, relatable, or knowledgeable about the strategies you get to
create when your back is to the wall. Also, when the bullets do start flying
about, I'll bet that they'll be running for cover, crying "Mummy,
Mummy...")
More figures on China's economy out later today, but already the flow of early data suggests still strong growth.
China’s exports and imports jumped in February from a year ago, but
there a couple of points that mean the figures are unreliable.
Firstly the rises are from February 2009, which is when demand for
Chinese exports and demand from industry for imports, was slashed by
the GFC and credit crunch.
Secondly, the Lunar New Year was in January last year, this year it was in February.
China shuts down for more than a week, and the impact of the long break
is hard to work out when making comparisons especially when the basis
is a very weak month as February was last year (and January as well).
The gulf between Australia and the US has again been underlined.
Australia is booming, America is struggling.
And yet the US market jumped nearly 70% in the past year, Australia by just over 50%.
Both were a bit short of the global market index which was up 73%.
Wall Street had its best rise since the days of the depression in the
last year; the market was up 68% from the low on March 9 last year, to
yesterday.
That will no doubt please the more than 15 million people out of a job,
including the 8.4 million Americans who have lost their jobs since
December 2007 and the 38 million people on food aid from State and
Federal Governments.
It's only a tiddler of a deal, but the merger announced yesterday between Aurox Resources and Atlas Iron set off a dramatic share price surge for one of the partners.
Aurox Resources shares jumped by more than 170% when trading resumed
yesterday in both shares after the proposed merger was revealed.
Aurox shares finished up 172%, or 46.5c to 73.6c.
Atlas shares were not as enthusiastically supported, they eased, but then rose in afternoon trading, ending up 10c at $2.31.
Aurox traded at 27 cents when a trading halt was called earlier this week, Atlas at $2.21 before its halt on Monday.
Yesterday the S&P/ASX200 had a very ordinary trading session. The index
finished up 0.1 point to close at 4,820.00. The trading day started with the
index higher, however when the home lending data was released for the month of
February, the market saw a sell-off.
Economists were predicting an increase of 2%. Already, market 'experts' are suggesting that the 7.9% drop
in housing finance will prevent the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) increasing
interest rates in April.
Overnight in America, the US had a choppy trading session as well. The Dow Jones Industrial
Average closed up 2 points to 10,567.33. The major banks in the US were all
higher for the day.
Paul Atkinson, deputy head of US Equities at Aberdeen Asset Management
suggested "There's
probably a little bit of altitude sickness at these levels",
referring to the current rally of the US market. He added "Normally you'd think if a
market's moved this much, aren't we due for some sort of correction?"
In the UK, the FTSE was higher by 38 points, finishing at 5,640.57. A
strong opening in the US, higher commodity prices and China's positive trade data woke the Footsie up from its
afternoon slumber.
“Just allow it…just admit it. It doesn’t matter where the inflation comes from. Just let it stay…”
SLASHING the Bank of England’s base interest rate
to an historic low of 0.5% was supposed to “rebalance” the
economy…tipping it away from galloping consumption towards an
export-led recovery.
But all that the Pound’s slump since rates began sinking in March 2008 has done so far, however, is gift a 50% gain to UK gold owners.
“While we were hit with a great recession, we now know that the
world has indeed avoided a great depression,” said UK prime minister
Gordon Brown at a Reuters press conference in London this morning.
This
week we've made a conscious decision not to write about p------y or h-----g.
Even though we've come across a few gems worth commenting on. And even though
several readers have sent us a couple of choice morsels too.
But, we'll stick to our guns and leave any p------y or h-----g comments until
next week.
Anyway, our comments on pay equalisation seem to have set off something of a
discussion both on the Money Morning website and in emails we've
received to the Money
Morning mailbag.
It's an interesting topic so I thought it worth our while having another look
at it based on some of the comments we've received.
A few interesting comments include this from 'Zengirl' that was left on the Money Morning website:
"It's overwhelmingly
disappointing that the attitudes of men toward equality are no different in the
21st century than they were in the last few. Using the concept of 'competitive
advantage' to justify inequality is outrageous and simply cannot be supported
in any way. Indeed, if your argument had any weight, then indigenous people
(who are paid far less than any of us) would be the most competitive in the
labour market!"
Just over two weeks after revealing its 2009 profit and losses (but
promising to improve), poker machine group, Aristocrat Leisure has revealed a major board shake-up with three directors to retire.
The retirees include current chairman, David Simpson, who will step down once a successor can be found.
That is expected to happen by the end of this year.
Two new directors have already been announced and will be up for election at the AGM next month.
A complicating matter for directors of Aristocrat is that they have to
get clearance from gambling control authorities in multiple
jurisdictions in Australia, Asia (especially Japan) the US and Europe.
As an example, Mr Simpson was nominated to join the Board in July 2003
and it took seven months to get the necessary regulatory approvals in
place by February 2004
Building and housing products supplier, Alesco Corporation saw its
shares pounded yesterday after it surprised the market with an after
hours profit downgrade on Tuesday evening.<
The shares fell more than 31% at one stage, to a day's low of $3.12, where they closed down $1.44 on the day.
The size of the fall approximated the size of the earnings downgrade of 25% to 30%.
That matched the first half earnings fall.
The company downgraded its earnings guidance after ''a much weaker than
expected third quarter performance'' that is expected to carry over
into the fourth quarter which ends on May 31.
The question is now whether other companies in the sector should also be downgraded (such as GWA International).
The market is up 4. The SFE Futures were up 20 this morning.
Wall Street closed up 3. Highest volume in 2 weeks. The Dow was up 37 at best and down 38 at worst. The NASDAQ hit a new 52 week high. Financials did well again after the European Commission President Romano Prodi said the worst of Greece’s budget crisis is over.
Oil up 89c to $81.38, Gold down $14 to $1108 and the Aussie dollar increased to 91.54c from 91.40c.
In the news today…
MYER Ltd (MYR) – Interim Result better than expected – Net profit (excluding IPO costs) came in at $115m, up 38% and ahead of the $111.3m analysts expected. They declared a 10.5c dividend and reiterated FY total sales growth guidance. Hasn’t inspired the share price – up 2c to 349c.
Equinox Minerals (EQN) announced an Full year profit of $195.7m and cash reserves of $109.1m. Price up 4c to 381c.