This informative article is contributed by Michael Yardney.Michael is the Director of Metropole Property Strategists, a best selling Author and one of Australia's leading experts in Wealth Creation through Property. For more information about Michael visit www.metropole.com.au and www.PropertyUpdate.com.au
Some Risks Ahead for our Property Markets. By Michael Yardney
I have been very upbeat in my last few blogs explaining how we are now at the beginning of a new property cycle, how fortunes will be made by some property investors and how property prices will once again double over the next decade.
Well today I’m going to introduces a word of caution…
You see… a couple of days ago I had a chat with David Cohen, one of the buyer’s agents at Metropole and he said “Michael I don’t like this market, I’m concerned!”
The move down in gold yesterday surprised many traders and flashed
an exit signal based on MarketClub's daily "Trade Triangle" technology.
As we have mentioned before, we felt that gold was in a broad trading
range and were not optimistic that it would shoot higher.
The action yesterday confirms that we have more of a two-way market.
I expect we'll see further selling on any rallies from this level.
In today's video, I share with you some thoughts I have on gold
based on one important element: how gold energy fields propel this
market.
Click here to watch today's free video from INOTV.
All the best,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub
The Australian economy's recovery is accelerating, as two surveys yesterday indicate.
The ANZ Bank on job ads was very strong in February (see next story),
while the National Australia Bank on business conditions and
confidence, revealed a very solid February.
The NAB said business confidence was now back at its very high levels
of late 2009, while business conditions, which held up in January, have
improved again.
Either the latest job ads survey from the ANZ Bank is a tip off that
the labour market is tightening significantly, or it's playing catch up
to the real economy after showing a fall in ads in January.
The ANZ said yesterday that job ads jumped by 19.1% last month, the best monthly rise in the history of the 11 year old survey.
Slowly the size of the bills for Victoria's storms and Queensland's floods, are taking shape.
So far over 22,000 claims have been received for the two disasters, but
it is early days and insurance companies expect that to rise.
Some analysts say 40,000 claims from Victoria might be made.
Insurance Australia Group, which is in a joint venture with RACV in
Victoria, plus the business-focused CGU brand, says it has so far
received in excess of 10,000 claims from customers.
Suncorp has received more than 12,500 for its Promina, GIO, APIA and other brands.
The market is down 8. The SFE Futures were up 9 this morning.
Wall St. closed slightly higher overnight – up 12 – It was the anniversary of the 2009 bear market low. The Dow was up 60 at best and down 19 at worst. Financials did well on talk the US government would sell its stake in Citigroup.
Metals were mixed overnight on London, oil fell slightly and Gold dropped $1.70 to $1122. The Aussie dollar improved to 91.40c from 90.93c.
In the news today…
* Atlas Iron (AGO) and Aurox (AXO) have agreed to merger. AXO up a massive 144% or 39c to 66c after their shareholders were offered one Atlas share for every 3 Aurox shares they own, implying a value of 74c based on AGO’s closing price yesterday. AGO down 4c today to 217c.
* Alesco Corporation (ALS) down 30% to 319c after downgrading their FY earnings guidance to 24-27c from 34-36c. Patersons has cut their recommendation to Sell from Buy.
The S&P/ASX200 started Tuesday down, but finished higher by 12 points to
close at 4,820.10. The ANZ job survey showed job ads on the internet was higher by
19.6% for February. Overall, total job ads are only 2.3% below the same time
last year.
However, economist Warren Hogan has warned
that quoting the internet job ad figures isn't ideal. "Newspaper ads are a more
reliable indicator than ads on the internet because people have to pay for
them, or at least the cost is higher."
Phillip Lowe from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has warned that the
Australian economy could grow at a faster than average rate, which will fuel
inflation. Read more here.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up by 11 points, finishing the session at
10,564.38. Wall Street has had the best twelve months rise since the great depression. In
fact, the Dow is up over 60% since the same time last year.
In the UK, the FTSE was lower by 4 points, closing to 5,602.30. Strong oil
prices drove stocks like Royal Dutch Shell [LON: RDSA] higher by 0.77%, but the
major banks and miners dragged the index down.
A
quick follow on from yesterday's Money Morning. We like this quote we've found
from Professor Walter Block:
"Consider a man and a
woman each with a productivity of $10 per hour, and suppose, because of
discrimination or whatever, that the man is paid $10 per hour and the woman is
paid $8 per hour. It is as if the woman had a little sign on her forehead saying,
'Hire me and earn an extra $2 an hour.' This makes her a desirable employee
even for a sexist boss. But when an equal-pay law stipulates that she must be
paid the same as the man, the employer can indulge his discriminatory
tendencies and not hire her at all, at no cost to himself."
This example is applied to a comparison of male labour versus female labour. As
was our article yesterday.
But in reality, it's not even a Male v Female thing.
Because just take the same example and switch in 'skilled worker' in place of
'man' and 'unskilled worker' in place of 'woman' - not that we're saying all
female employees are unskilled of course! - and the same principle applies.
If you have not had the chance, I strongly recommend that
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Enjoy, while we at Asxnewbie keep looking around for more good values
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